Information
Code | ISB0010 |
Name | Time Series Analysis II |
Term | 2022-2023 Academic Year |
Semester | . Semester |
Duration (T+A) | 3-0 (T-A) (17 Week) |
ECTS | 6 ECTS |
National Credit | 3 National Credit |
Teaching Language | Türkçe |
Level | Yüksek Lisans Dersi |
Type | Normal |
Mode of study | Yüz Yüze Öğretim |
Catalog Information Coordinator |
Course Goal / Objective
The objectives of this course are to do modelling and analysis of time series.
Course Content
Vector Autoregression, Bayesian Analysis, The Kalman Filter, Generalized Method of Moments, Processes with Deterministic Time Trends, Univariate Processes with Unit Roots, Unit Roots in Multivariate Time Series, Time Series Models of Heteroskedasticity
Course Precondition
no
Resources
1. Hamilton,J.D. (1994).Time series analysis. Princeton univ. press., NEW JERSEY. 2. Enders, W. (1995). Applied econometric time series. John Wiley and Sons,INC. 3. Akdi, Y.(2003). Zaman serileri analizi. Bıçaklar kitabevi. ANKARA. 4. Sevüktekin, M. Ve Nargeleçekenler, M.(2007). Ekonometrik zaman serileri analizi. Nobel kitabevi. ANKARA.
Notes
1. Hamilton,J.D. (1994).Time series analysis. Princeton univ. press., NEW JERSEY. 2. Enders, W. (1995). Applied econometric time series. John Wiley and Sons,INC. 3. Akdi, Y.(2003). Zaman serileri analizi. Bıçaklar kitabevi. ANKARA. 4. Sevüktekin, M. Ve Nargeleçekenler, M.(2007). Ekonometrik zaman serileri analizi. Nobel kitabevi. ANKARA.
Course Learning Outcomes
Order | Course Learning Outcomes |
---|---|
LO01 | Must learn autoregressive vectors |
LO02 | Bayesian analysis should be learned |
LO03 | Kalman Filter should understand the estimation method |
LO04 | Learn to generalize the method of moments |
LO05 | Understand deterministic time series processes |
LO06 | Comprehend univariate processes with unit roots |
LO07 | Must learn unit roots in multivariate time series models |
LO08 | Must learn heterosdastic time series models |
Relation with Program Learning Outcome
Order | Type | Program Learning Outcomes | Level |
---|---|---|---|
PLO01 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Have in-depth theoretical and practical knowledge about Probability and Statistics | 5 |
PLO02 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | They have the knowledge to make doctoral plans in the field of statistics. | |
PLO03 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Has comprehensive knowledge about analysis and modeling methods used in statistics. | 4 |
PLO04 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Has comprehensive knowledge of methods used in statistics. | 2 |
PLO05 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Make scientific research on Mathematics, Probability and Statistics. | 2 |
PLO06 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Indicates statistical problems, develops methods to solve. | 3 |
PLO07 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Apply innovative methods to analyze statistical problems. | 3 |
PLO08 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Designs and applies the problems faced in the field of analytical modeling and experimental researches. | 3 |
PLO09 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Access to information and do research about the source. | |
PLO10 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Develops solution approaches in complex situations and takes responsibility. | |
PLO11 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Has the confidence to take responsibility. | |
PLO12 | Beceriler - Bilişsel, Uygulamalı | They demonstrate being aware of the new and developing practices. | 2 |
PLO13 | Beceriler - Bilişsel, Uygulamalı | He/She constantly renews himself/herself in statistics and related fields. | |
PLO14 | Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği | Communicate in Turkish and English verbally and in writing. | |
PLO15 | Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği | Transmits the processes and results of their studies clearly in written and oral form in national and international environments. | |
PLO16 | Yetkinlikler - Öğrenme Yetkinliği | It considers the social, scientific and ethical values in the collection, processing, use, interpretation and announcement stages of data and in all professional activities. | 3 |
PLO17 | Yetkinlikler - Öğrenme Yetkinliği | Uses the hardware and software required for statistical applications. | 3 |
Week Plan
Week | Topic | Preparation | Methods |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Autoregressive vectors | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
2 | Maximum likelihood estimation of constrained autoregressive vectors | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
3 | Bayesian analysis | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
4 | Obtaining the Kalman Filter | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
5 | Maximum likelihood estimates of parameters | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
6 | Generalization of the method of moments (GMM) | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
7 | Midterm | Ölçme Yöntemleri: Yazılı Sınav, Ödev |
|
8 | GMM and maximum likelihood estimate | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Soru-Cevap, Tartışma |
9 | Deterministic time series processes | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
10 | Univariate processes with unit roots | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
11 | Univariate processes with unit roots | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Soru-Cevap, Tartışma |
12 | Unit roots in multivariate time series models | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
13 | Unit roots in multivariate time series models | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Soru-Cevap, Tartışma |
14 | Heterosdastic time series models | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım |
15 | Heterosdastic time series models | source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Soru-Cevap, Alıştırma ve Uygulama |
16 | final exam | Ölçme Yöntemleri: Yazılı Sınav, Ödev |
|
17 | final exam | Ölçme Yöntemleri: Yazılı Sınav, Ödev |
Student Workload - ECTS
Works | Number | Time (Hour) | Workload (Hour) |
---|---|---|---|
Course Related Works | |||
Class Time (Exam weeks are excluded) | 14 | 3 | 42 |
Out of Class Study (Preliminary Work, Practice) | 14 | 5 | 70 |
Assesment Related Works | |||
Homeworks, Projects, Others | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mid-term Exams (Written, Oral, etc.) | 1 | 15 | 15 |
Final Exam | 1 | 30 | 30 |
Total Workload (Hour) | 157 | ||
Total Workload / 25 (h) | 6,28 | ||
ECTS | 6 ECTS |