MT261 Probability

7 ECTS - 4-0 Duration (T+A)- 3. Semester- 4 National Credit

Information

Code MT261
Name Probability
Semester 3. Semester
Duration (T+A) 4-0 (T-A) (17 Week)
ECTS 7 ECTS
National Credit 4 National Credit
Teaching Language Türkçe
Level Lisans Dersi
Type Normal
Mode of study Yüz Yüze Öğretim
Catalog Information Coordinator Prof. Dr. SADULLAH SAKALLIOĞLU


Course Goal

This course aims to give the basic concepts such as permutation, combination, probability theory, random variables and their distributions. This course forms the basis for introduction to statistics.

Course Content

Random experiment, sample space, event, probability function, probability calculations, conditional probability, random variables, functions of random variables, discrete random variables and their distributions.

Course Precondition

None

Resources

Olasılık ve İstatistik (Probability and Statistics), Fikri Akdeniz, Nobel Yayınevi, Adana

Notes

Lecture Notes


Course Learning Outcomes

Order Course Learning Outcomes
LO01 Understand Sample spaces, Sample points and Counting Rules
LO02 Able to solve the problems of permutations and combinations
LO03 Uses Probability of an event, the Rules of Probability and Probability Axioms
LO04 Applies conditional probability, independent events and Bayes theorem
LO05 Understand the concept of a random variable and distribution of a random variable
LO06 Understand the expected value, the variance and the properties of a random variable,
LO07 Uses concepts of moments, skewness and kurtosi, and the Chebyshew inequality
LO08 Recognize some discrete distributions such as Bernoulli, Binomial, Multinomial, Geometric, Negative Binomial


Relation with Program Learning Outcome

Order Type Program Learning Outcomes Level
PLO01 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Comprehend the ability to prove the mathematical knowledge gained in secondary education on the basis of theoretical basis. 4
PLO02 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Understands importance of basic consepts of Algebra, Analaysis and Topology.
PLO03 Yetkinlikler - Öğrenme Yetkinliği Mathematical reasoning demonstrates the ability to develop and write mathematical proofs by gaining maturity. 5
PLO04 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Demonstrate the ability to express the basic theories of mathematics both correctly.
PLO05 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Understands the relationship between the different fields of mathematics and its relation to other disciplines. 5
PLO06 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Comprehends the ability to understand the relationships between the objects in the most understandable way while creating a model for any problem. 5
PLO07 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Comprehend and explain mathematical models such as formulas, graphs, tables and schema. 4
PLO08 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Demonstrate the ability to mathematically rearrange, analyze, and model the problems they encounter. 4
PLO09 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Comprehends at least one of the computer programming languages.
PLO10 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Demonstrate the ability to use scientific methods and appropriate technologies effectively in problem solving. 3
PLO11 Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği Understands sufficient knowledge of foreign language to be able to understand Mathematical concepts and communicate with other mathematicians
PLO12 Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği In addition to their professional development, they demonstrate their ability to continuously improve themselves by identifying their educational needs in scientific, cultural, artistic and social areas in line with their interests and abilities.
PLO13 Yetkinlikler - Öğrenme Yetkinliği Understands the programming techniques and shows the ability to do programming.
PLO14 Yetkinlikler - Öğrenme Yetkinliği Demonstrates the ability to study mathematics both independently and as a group. 5
PLO15 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Demonstrate an awareness of the universal and social impacts and legal consequences of mathematical applications in the field of study. 4
PLO16 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Demonstrate the ability to select, use and develop effectively for contemporary mathematical applications. 3
PLO17 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal It has ability of lifelong learning awareness, access to information, monitoring developments in science and technology and self-renewal ability. 4
PLO18 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Gains the ability to use information technologies effectively for contemporary mathematical applications.
PLO19 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Gains the ability to design, conduct experiments, field work, data collection, analysis, archiving, text solving and / or interpretation according to mathematics fields. 5
PLO20 Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal Gains the consciousness of prefesional ethics and responsibility. 4


Week Plan

Week Topic Preparation Methods
1 The concept of sample space, sample point, event, counting rules for sample points Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
2 Permutations, circular permutations, combinations, Pascals triangle, repeated combinations Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
3 Ordered and unordered partitions, Binomial Theorem Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
4 The probability of an event, the probability axioms, some of the probability rules Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
5 Geometric probablity, Conditonal probability Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
6 Independent events, Bayes theorem Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
7 Random variables, probabilty distribution of discrete random variables Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma, Soru-Cevap
8 Mid-Term Exam Written Exam Ölçme Yöntemleri:
Yazılı Sınav
9 Probabilty distribution of continuous random variables Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
10 The expected value of a random variable, the variance and their properties, Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
11 Moments, skewness and kurtosis, Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
12 Chebyshew inequality, Problem solving Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
13 Bernoulli distribution, binomial distribution, a multinomial distribution, Geometric distribution Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
14 Negative binomial distribution, Hypergeometric distribution, Uniform distribution, Required reading Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Anlatım, Tartışma
15 Solving Problem Review of topics discussed in the lecture notes and sources Öğretim Yöntemleri:
Tartışma, Soru-Cevap
16 Term Exams Written exam Ölçme Yöntemleri:
Yazılı Sınav
17 Term Exams Written exam Ölçme Yöntemleri:
Yazılı Sınav


Student Workload - ECTS

Works Number Time (Hour) Workload (Hour)
Course Related Works
Class Time (Exam weeks are excluded) 14 4 56
Out of Class Study (Preliminary Work, Practice) 14 6 84
Assesment Related Works
Homeworks, Projects, Others 0 0 0
Mid-term Exams (Written, Oral, etc.) 1 8 8
Final Exam 1 16 16
Total Workload (Hour) 164
Total Workload / 25 (h) 6,56
ECTS 7 ECTS